Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 1436.239977 1642.687322 1874.680745 2155.902911 2489.177352 2873.496992 3353.048497
2025-08-03 1131.539407 1400.892022 1734.119222 2181.740183 2775.040610 3545.518281 4640.182193
2025-08-10 987.908454 1288.422248 1684.798930 2256.101096 3075.661365 4236.369017 6055.939359
2025-08-17 876.383620 1190.229106 1625.583383 2289.580340 3306.041710 4854.631583 7498.547214
2025-08-24 786.708546 1104.858006 1565.134746 2301.673716 3494.339138 5432.428786 9007.674765
2025-08-31 715.433653 1034.361082 1513.010993 2312.231197 3673.544496 6020.577627 10677.101879
2025-09-07 663.861183 985.680830 1485.306176 2353.398050 3904.757672 6736.908360 12775.349879
2025-09-14 597.511854 905.920118 1397.718129 2279.834709 3918.837686 7055.353084 14160.308832
2025-09-21 542.331809 837.913815 1320.835653 2212.623988 3930.398194 7366.316825 15613.758223
2025-09-28 493.173268 774.809480 1244.997977 2136.288563 3910.207867 7605.758678 16970.924730
2025-10-05 475.343390 762.179228 1253.897136 2216.655721 4212.866717 8591.759991 20495.418252
2025-10-12 452.143190 737.930446 1239.305333 2249.375764 4421.542278 9414.303968 23896.836098
2025-10-19 431.404984 717.206063 1230.896674 2297.479574 4682.534423 10449.930304 28428.722237
2025-10-26 410.002456 693.506719 1214.808390 2328.646903 4914.578765 11484.860753 33491.851440
2025-11-02 396.419151 682.687722 1221.748024 2408.854411 5277.440006 12967.349800 40862.007065
2025-11-09 379.109831 663.209335 1209.477629 2445.083673 5539.903080 14251.170761 48288.786772
2025-11-16 360.980184 640.525663 1188.334234 2458.166963 5746.060914 15434.618618 56091.636014
2025-11-23 344.282902 619.190800 1167.743950 2469.590275 5950.680373 16681.246065 65061.865872
2025-11-30 331.924914 605.385075 1161.439584 2514.140858 6256.982365 18367.785229 77466.274489
2025-12-07 310.035996 570.696774 1107.365035 2434.539675 6191.831215 18756.074985 83520.270725
2025-12-14 290.536641 539.535572 1058.348742 2361.847608 6135.029801 19165.778124 90103.664349
2025-12-21 271.820787 508.757932 1007.730823 2279.328361 6034.796988 19391.225866 95875.309145
2025-12-28 267.150807 506.946868 1021.499523 2366.207189 6482.453037 21920.592029 118987.609750